GENEVA, May 5, 2022 (BSS/AFP) - The Covid-19 pandemic killed 13.3 to 16.6
million people in 2020 and 2021, the WHO estimated Thursday -- up to triple
the number of deaths attributed directly to the disease.
The World Health Organization's long-awaited estimate of the total number
of deaths caused by the pandemic -- including lives lost to its knock-on
effects -- finally puts a number on the broader impact of the crisis.
"New estimates from the World Health Organization show that the full death
toll associated directly or indirectly with the Covid-19 pandemic between
January 1, 2020 and December 31, 2021 was approximately 14.9 million (range
13.3 million to 16.6 million)," the UN health agency said in a statement.
The figure calculates what is termed as excess mortality due to the Covid-
19 crisis, which has upended much of the planet for more than two years.
"These sobering data not only point to the impact of the pandemic but also
to the need for all countries to invest in more resilient health systems that
can sustain essential health services during crises, including stronger
health information systems," WHO chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said.
- Deaths due to impact -
Excess mortality is calculated as the difference between the number of
deaths that have occurred and the number that would have been expected in the
absence of the pandemic, based on data from earlier years.
Excess mortality includes deaths associated with Covid-19 directly, due to
the disease, and indirectly due to the pandemic's impact on health systems
and society.
The WHO declared Covid an international public health emergency on January
30, 2020, after cases of the new coronavirus spread beyond China.
Countries around the world reported 5.42 million Covid-19 deaths to the WHO
in 2020 and 2021 -- a figure that today stands at 6.24 million, including
deaths in 2022.
The Geneva-based organisation has long said the true number of deaths would
be far higher than just the recorded fatalities put down to Covid infections.
Deaths linked indirectly to the pandemic are attributable to other
conditions for which people were unable to access treatment because health
systems were overburdened by the crisis.
The WHO said that most of the excess deaths -- 84 percent -- were
concentrated in southeast Asia, Europe and the Americas.
Indeed, 10 countries alone accounted for 68 percent of all excess deaths.
High-income countries accounted for 15 percent of the excess deaths; upper-
middle-income nations 28 percent; lower-middle-income states 53 percent; and
low-income countries four percent.
The global death toll was higher for men than for women -- 57 percent male,
43 percent female -- and higher among older adults.
- Understanding the crisis -
"Measurement of excess mortality is an essential component to understand
the impact of the pandemic," said Samira Asma, the WHO's assistant director-
general for data, analytics and delivery.
She said changes in mortality trends give decision-makers the information
needed to guide practices that can reduce death rates and prevent future
crises.
"These new estimates use the best available data and have been produced
using a robust methodology and a completely transparent approach."
The WHO said the 14.9-million figure was produced by leading world experts
who developed a methodology to generate estimates where data is lacking.
Many countries do not have the capacity for reliable mortality surveillance
and therefore do not generate the data needed to work out excess mortality
rates -- but can do so using the publicly available methodology.
The WHO was due to hold a press conference later Thursday to explain the
new calculation.