Hurricane Ian dumped 10% more rain due to climate change: research
PARIS, Sept 30, 2022 (BSS/AFP) - Climate change increased the rainfall from
Hurricane Ian by more than 10 percent, according to a new quick-fire
analysis, as one of the most powerful storms ever to hit the United States
devastated parts of Florida.
Ian "could be the deadliest hurricane in Florida history", President Joe
Biden said after the storm brought ferocious winds, turned streets into
churning rivers that swept away homes and left an unknown number of
According to a rapid and preliminary analysis, human-caused climate change
increased the extreme rain that Ian unleashed by over 10 percent, US
"Climate change didn't cause the storm but it did cause it to be wetter,"
said Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory's Michael Wehner, one of the
scientists behind the new finding.
The researchers compared simulations of today's world -- which has warmed
nearly 1.2 degrees Celsius since pre-industrial times -- with counterfactual
simulations of a world without human-induced climate change.
Wehner said these were "conservative estimates", adding that while they are
not peer reviewed, they are based on methods used in a study on the 2020
Atlantic hurricane season, which was published in April in the journal Nature
Climate change from emissions of planet-heating greenhouse gases is warming
the ocean's surface and increasing moisture in the atmosphere that fuels
Although the total number of tropical storms, or cyclones, may not increase,
scientists say warming is whipping up more powerful cyclones with stronger
winds and more precipitation.
"Human-caused climate change is affecting hurricanes in many ways including
causing them to intensify faster, be stronger overall, and dump a lot more
rain," tweeted climate scientist Katharine Hayhoe, who was not involved in
For each degree Celsius of warming, scientists expect the water in the
atmosphere to increase by around seven percent.
But Wehner said that his research found that storms are "more efficient" at
turning the available moisture into rainfall.
Ian swept across Cuba on Tuesday, downing the country's power network, before
slamming into the Florida coast on Wednesday as a strong Category 4
The National Hurricane Center said Thursday the now Category 1 storm is
expected to bring "life-threatening flooding, storm surge and strong winds"
to the Carolinas.