SEVILLE, Spain, June 19, 2022 (BSS/AFP) - Andalusia votes Sunday in an early
regional election that the incumbent conservative Popular Party is expected
to win comfortably, dealing a blow to Spain's Socialist Prime Minister Pedro
Sanchez ahead of a national vote expected at the end of 2023.

Over six million people are eligible to vote in Spain's most populous region
where scorching temperatures are expected to cool slightly after a week of
extreme heat which officials feared would hurt turnout.

Polling stations opened at 9:00 am (0700 GMT) and will close at 8:00 pm, with
final results expected a few hours later.

Surveys suggest the conservative Popular Party (PP) will win around 50 seats
in the 109-seat Andalusian parliament, more than all leftist parties
combined.

It has governed the southern region known for its white-walled villages and
popular Costa del Sol beach resorts since 2018 in a coalition with smaller
centre-right party Ciudadanos.

The Socialists are predicted to win around 33 seats, the same number as at
the last election in 2018 when they were ousted from power in Andalusia for
the first time since the regional government was established in 1982.

A scandal over the misuse of public funds intended to fight unemployment was
blamed for the party's drubbing in its longstanding stronghold which is home
to around 8.5 million people.

"All social advances that have taken place in Andalusia and in Spain were
initiated by the Socialists. Never by the right," Sanchez told a final
campaign rally Friday in Seville, the region's capital.

While the PP appears set to win Sunday's election, it is not clear if it will
secure an absolute majority which would allow it to govern alone.

If it doesn't, the PP will likely need to seek support from the far-right Vox
by bringing it into the regional government, as happened earlier this year in
the northern region of Castilla y Leon.

Until now, Vox has supported the PP in Andalusia but from outside government.

Any deal with Vox would complicate efforts by the PP's new national leader,
Alberto Nunez Feijoo, to project a more moderate image.

- 'Gaining momentum' -

The head of the PP in Andalusia, Juan Manuel Moreno Bonilla, has urged voters
to deliver him a "strong" government that is not "weighed down" by Vox.

If the polls are right, this will be the Socialists' third consecutive
regional election loss to the PP after votes in Madrid in May 2021 and
Castilla y Leon in February.

Losing in Andalusia would be a "severe blow" for the Socialists and would
mean "Sanchez might face an uphill battle to get re-elected" next year, said
Antonio Barroso, an analyst at political consultancy Teneo.

"The PP seems to be gaining increasing momentum, and voter concerns about
inflation might only make it more challenging for Sanchez to sell his
government's achievements in the next legislative election," he added.

Spain's inflation rate hit 8.7 percent in May as the economic fallout from
Russia's invasion of Ukraine has fuelled inflation worldwide, especially
through increasing energy prices.

The PP has sought to present itself in Andalusia as a "sensible alternative"
from the centre, University of Granada political science professor Oscar
Garcia Luengo told AFP.

The strategy appears to be working as the party is poised to win the support
of nearly 17 percent of voters who cast their ballot for the Socialists in
2018, according to a Sigma dos survey for the El Mundo daily.