Australia central bank hold rates as home prices fall

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SYDNEY, Dec 4, 2018 (BSS/AFP) – Australia’s central bank kept interest
rates at a record-low on Tuesday as a drop in house prices accelerated.

Borrowing costs have stayed at 1.50 percent since they were last cut in
August 2016, when the economy was transitioning away from an unprecedented
mining investment boom.

“The low level of interest rates is continuing to support the Australian
economy,” RBA governor Philip Lowe said in a statement.

“Further progress in reducing unemployment and having inflation return to
target is expected, although this progress is likely to be gradual.”

The RBA has remained positive about the Australian economy and the
strengthening labour market, but appears to be keeping a closer watch on
several risks, including low inflation, weak wages growth and uncertainty
over consumer spending.

The housing market is experiencing a downturn after several boom years,
with prices in November falling at their fastest pace since the global
financial crisis, according to leading property data provider CoreLogic.

Market analysts expect the bank to hold rates for some time to come.

“There’s nothing on the agenda which is going to force the RBA’s hand at
this stage, so I think the upside that we’re seeing in the labour numbers is
probably being offset to a large extent in housing and (tighter) credit,” JP
Morgan economist Tom Kennedy told AFP.

“It means that the path of least resistance is probably for the cash rate
to remain at 1.50 percent.”

The RBA decision comes a day before the release of third-quarter economic
growth figures, with expectations for a slowdown after a strong first half of
the year owing to slowing household consumption.

Analysts are tipping expansion of 0.5 percent for the three months, taking
the annual rate of growth to 3.2 percent, compared with the current reading
of 3.4 percent.