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MEXICO-VOTE
Leftist ‘AMLO’ favorite as Mexico heads to polls
MEXICO CITY, July 1, 2018 (BSS/AFP) – Fed up with corruption and violence,
Mexicans will elect their next president Sunday, deciding whether to believe
in the change promised by the anti-establishment leftist Andres Manuel Lopez
Obrador, the heavy favorite.
Leading by more than 20 points in the polls, the sharp-tongued, silver-
haired politician has successfully tapped voters’ anger with a seemingly
never-ending series of corruption scandals and horrific violence that left a
record 25,000 murders last year — an orgy of bloodshed fueled by the
country’s powerful drug cartels.
Many voters are sick of the two parties that have governed Mexico for
nearly a century: the ruling Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) and the
conservative National Action Party (PAN).
Lopez Obrador, 64, calls them both part of the same “mafia of power,” a
message that resonated with many people — even if the former Mexico City
mayor has been vague on what the change he promises will look like.
The poll aggregator Oraculus gives Lopez Obrador 48.1 percent of the vote
heading into election day, to 26.1 percent for former speaker of Congress
Ricardo Anaya of the PAN, 20.8 percent for PRI candidate Jose Antonio Meade
and five percent for independent candidate Jaime Rodriguez.
Lopez Obrador’s coalition — led by his party, Morena — is within striking
distance of a congressional majority and six of the nine governorships up for
grabs.
That would be a major realignment in Mexican politics and a coup for a
party launched only six years ago, originally as a grassroots movement to
support the three-time presidential candidate’s 2012 campaign.
Duncan Wood, director of the Mexico Institute at the Woodrow Wilson
International Center for Scholars in Washington, called the elections
“historic.”
“You’ve got an openly left-wing economic nationalist who is from a new
party, a party that didn’t even exist at the last (national) election, who is
managing to sweep into power, not just in the presidency, but in the Congress
as well,” he said.
“We’re looking at a shift in Mexican politics.”
– Market jitters –
Lopez Obrador has clashed with Mexico’s business community, with some
critics warning he would pursue Venezuela-style socialist policies that could
wreck Latin America’s second-largest economy.
Seeking to soothe, he has recruited a team of market-friendly advisers and
backpedaled on his most controversial proposals, including reversing outgoing
President Enrique Pena Nieto’s landmark energy reform, which privatized the
oil sector.
Mexico’s next president faces a laundry list of challenges, including a
lackluster economy and a thorny relationship with the United States under
President Donald Trump, whose anti-trade, anti-immigration policies have
turned diplomacy with Mexico’s key trading partner into a minefield.
Besides electing their president for the next six years, Mexico’s 88
million voters will choose their 500 lower-house deputies and 128 senators,
as well as a host of state and local officials.
Preliminary official results are expected around 11:00 pm (0400 GMT
Monday).
In all, more than 18,000 posts are at stake — the largest elections in
Mexican history.
They have also been the most violent, with 136 politicians murdered since
candidate registration began in September, according to the consulting firm
Etellekt.
BSS/AFP/MSY/0821 hrs