Energy firms rise with oil prices but Asia investors uncertain

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HONG KONG, June 27, 2018 (BSS/AFP) – Energy firms rallied on Wednesday
after a surge in oil prices but most Asian markets fluctuated as trade war
fears torment investors.

Both main crude contracts piled higher after the State Department warned
US allies they would be hit with sanctions if they did not halt Iran oil
purchases by November 4.

Analysts said that while the announcement was not unexpected, the mere
confirmation of the fact was enough to push investors into buying mode.

The commodity has enjoyed a healthy run since the weekend, when OPEC and
Russia agreed to a moderate lift in their 18-month-old output ceiling.

Unrest in producer Libya was also providing support.

The higher oil prices — Brent added more than two percent and WTI more
than three percent Tuesday — lifted energy firms. CNOOC soared more than
five percent in Hong Kong while PetroChina added almost two percent. Woodside
Petroleum in Sydney added 1.5 percent was more than two percent up.

However, trade tensions continue to loom large, keeping investors on edge
awaiting the next developments.

Tokyo ended the morning session 0.4 percent lower, while Hong Kong dipped
0.1 percent and Seoul edged lower. But Shanghai added 0.1 percent, as did
Sydney and Singapore.

Wellington, Taipei, Manila and Jakarta were also higher.

Stephen Innes, head of Asia-Pacific trading at OANDA, said Donald Trump’s
attack on Harley-Davidson indicated he is not ready to back down on his
hardline protectionist America first agenda.

– ‘No one is safe’ –

The president on Tuesday hit out at the motorbike maker after it said it
was planning to shift some manufacturing overseas because of European Union
tariffs put in place as retaliation for US duties.

He said the bikes should “never” be built outside the United States, and
tweeted: “Harley must know that they won’t be able to sell back into US
without paying a big tax!”

In a commentary, Innes said: “The only thing I can think of that is more
iconic Americana than apple pie is Harley-Davidson.

“So, after the president’s recent twitter tirade directed at the iconic
motorcycle manufacturer, it cements the view that, friend or foe, no one is
safe from the wrath of the US administration’s America First trade policy.”

He added that, while the US economy remains in rude health, which should
prode equities support, “investors are caught between a hammer and anvil on
escalating trade wars”.

On currency markets, the trade uncertainty is pushing the dollar up
against most high-yielding units owing to its safe haven status, though it
weakened against the yen, euro and pound.

The Chinese yuan also fell and is coming under increasing pressure owing
to concerns about the impact of a trade war on the world’s number two
economy, which is also showing signs of weakness.

The People’s Bank of China at the weekend lowered lenders’ reserve
requirements in a bid to free up cash but while it was welcomed it added to
the yuan’s weakness and fuelled a sense of unease in the economic outlook.

Markets are keeping an eye on US durable goods orders later Wednesday
“with some interest here in whether the concerns being flagged by various Fed
officials about trade worries leading to deferred investment and hiring
decisions are showing up in orders,” Ray Attrill, head of forex strategy at
National Australia Bank, said.

– Key figures around 0230 GMT –

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.4 percent at 22,251.36 (break)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng: DOWN 0.1 percent at 28,847.66

Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.1 percent at 2,848.52

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1655 from $1.1600 at 2100 GMT

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3230 from $1.3200

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 109.96 yen from 110.08 yen

Oil – West Texas Intermediate: UP 25 cents at $70.78

Oil – Brent Crude: UP 39 cents at $76.70 per barrel

New York – Dow Jones: UP 0.1 percent at 24,283.11 (close)

London – FTSE 100: UP 0.4 percent at 7,537.92 (close)