RIYADH, April 13, 2018 (BSS/AFP) – Saudi Arabia’s push for a tough stand against its arch-rival Iran is expected to dominate an Arab League summit on Sunday as regional tensions grow over the wars in Syria and Yemen.
The fate of Jerusalem will also be on the annual summit’s agenda, as the United States prepares to move its embassy from Tel Aviv to the disputed city after declaring it the capital of Israel.
Saudi Arabia, which is hosting the summit in its Eastern Province city of Dhahran, is likely to seek Arab support to pile the pressure on Iran, analysts say.
“The Saudis are going to push for a much harsher stance on Iran — not necessarily on the nuclear dossier per se, but on Iranian influence in the Arab countries, particularly Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Yemen,” said Karim Bitar of the Paris-based Institute of International and Strategic Affairs.
Iran’s influence is wielded through a land route of armed parties in the Middle East — the so-called “Shiite crescent” that cuts across the mainly Sunni Arab world.
Iran has long been a supporter of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and backs Lebanon’s Shiite Hezbollah movement, whose fighters are deployed in Syria alongside regime forces.
Iran also supports the Shiite Huthi rebels in Yemen in their war against the Saudi-backed government.
A Saudi-led coalition against the rebels said Friday that it had intercepted a Huthi rocket fired into southern Saudi territory — the third such attack in as many days.
But Iran denies Saudi accusations that it has smuggled arms to the insurgents.
In Shiite-dominated Iraq, the Islamic republic backs armed groups and supports the government.
“It’s definitely safe to say that Iran is the centrepiece of this summit,” said Andreas Krieg, assistant professor of defence studies at King’s College London.
The push against Iran is being led “predominantly by Saudi Arabia and the UAE, along with other Arab countries including Egypt”, Krieg said.
“Saudi Arabia has also reached out to Iraq to try and build ties and tackle militias there,” Krieg told AFP.
– Syria chemical attack –
The summit will be attended by delegations from 21 of the Arab League’s 22-member states.
Syria has been suspended from the organisation for the past seven years over Assad’s initial crackdown on protests before the uprising turned into all-out war.
The gathering comes as the US administration of President Donald Trump, a key Saudi ally, faces crucial decisions on how to react to the use of chemical weapons in Syria.
Trump has put off a final decision on US-led strikes against Syria after an alleged chemical attack against the rebel-held town of Douma that killed dozens.
The summit is expected to release a statement on the suspected toxic gas attack, but it remains to be seen whether the Arab League will take any action as well.
Syria serves today as a major pivot between Saudi Arabia and its allies on the one hand, and Iran and Hezbollah on the other.
Each party in the conflict backs opposing sides but all agree that the country’s future cannot be decided solely by the Assad regime, whose troops have regained territory with Russia’s support.
After years of demanding that Assad step down, Saudi Arabia this month conceded, in the words of its powerful crown prince, that the embattled president was staying.
“Certain regional powers previously determined to bring down the Syrian regime — particularly Saudi Arabia and Turkey — have now accepted the status quo, that Assad is staying,” Bitar said.
“Bashar’s Iranian patrons are also very well aware that their protege cannot run the show on his own and they are starting to accept the premise that they will have to negotiate spheres of influence in Syria territories”.
– Fate of Jerusalem –
Not on the table at the summit, according to Krieg, is Qatar, cut off from its Gulf allies over accusations of ties to Iran and support for Islamist extremists — claims denied by Doha.
On the eve of the summit, Saudi Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir confirmed as much, saying a solution for Qatar would be found within the six-state Gulf Cooperation Council.
The summit also comes after 34 Palestinians were killed and hundreds wounded at the hands of Israeli forces in mass protests along the Gaza border in two weeks.
The protests are to continue until mid-May, around the time Washington is to move its embassy to Jerusalem, which both Palestinians and Israelis claim as their capital.
Senior Palestinian official Hanan Ashrawi has said she hopes the summit will lead to a resolution, and concrete action, supporting the Palestinian position on Jerusalem.