Pound up but still faces pressure after Brexit delay deal

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HONG KONG, March 22, 2019 (BSS/AFP) – The pound rose Friday but was
struggling to claw back its latest losses after the EU gave Britain a Brexit
deadline extension, while equity markets mostly rose on a positive lead from
Wall Street.

At a summit in Brussels, Prime Minister Theresa May was given until April
12 to push her divorce agreement through a fractious parliament next week. If
she manages to get it passed, the exit date will be pushed back until May 22.

However, a third defeat by MPs would mean Britain crashes out on April 12,
unless London agrees to take part in European elections, a move the prime
minister previously has ruled out.

The announcement puts pressure on May to get her deal through Westminster,
with French President Emmanuel Macron warning: “In the case of a negative
British vote then we’d be heading to a no-deal.”

The sterling has come under pressure owing to the uncertainty in the past
few days, falling to as low as $1.3004 Thursday, though it has recovered
slightly and is still maintaining its position.

However, OANDA senior market analyst Jeffrey Halley remained wary.

“The investor community continues to price the pound as if a no-deal
Brexit is not possible, looking for excuses to buy rather than sell,” he said
in a note.

“A close look at the text of the EU announcement suggests this is not a
guaranteed outcome.”

The Bank of England on Thursday expressed concern that further
“uncertainties” over a “cliff-edge” no-deal Brexit “could have a significant
effect on spending” by businesses.

Equities were mostly up but dealers were treading warily as they weighed
an indication from the Federal Reserve that borrowing costs will not rise
this year with concerns about the slowing economy and stuttering China-US
trade talks.

Tokyo ended 0.1 percent higher and Shanghai gained 0.1 percent while
Sydney added 0.5 percent, Seoul gained 0.1 percent and Wellington jumped one
percent.

Singapore, Taipei, Manila and Bangkok were also well up.

But Hong Kong fell 0.3 percent in the afternoon while Mumbai and Jakarta
were lower.

The next possible market-moving catalyst could be next week as top US
officials head to Beijing on March 28-29 for a new round of trade talks,
followed by a trip to Washington by China’s top negotiator in April.

While there is optimism a deal will eventually be struck, Donald Trump
caused ripples when he said Wednesday that US tariffs on Chinese imports
could remain in place for a “substantial period”, dampening hopes that an
agreement would see them lifted soon.

– Key figures around 0700 GMT –

Tokyo – Nikkei 225: UP 0.1 percent at 21,627.34 (close)

Hong Kong – Hang Seng: DOWN 0.3 percent at 28,971.30

Shanghai – Composite: UP 0.1 percent at 3,104.15 (close)

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3152 from $1.3102 at 2040 GMT

Euro/pound: DOWN at 86.52 pence from 86.77 pence

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1378 from $1.1369

Dollar/yen: DOWN at 110.70 yen from 110.80 yen

Oil – West Texas Intermediate: DOWN six cents at $59.92

Oil – Brent Crude: DOWN two cents at $67.84 per barrel

New York – DOW: UP 0.8 percent at 25,962.51 (close)

London – FTSE 100: UP 0.9 percent at 7,355.31 (close)